My Totally Wrong, Expert Predictions for Health Care 2025

By MICHAEL MILLENSON January In a blistering commentary, the American Medical Association’s flagship journal, JAMA, condemns the corrosive effect on patient care of the profit-seeking practices of health insurers. Separately, the organization announces that it’s selling the 13 journals in its JAMA Network to a private equity firm for $375 million “in order to enhance…

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My Publications in 2024

Here is the list of my papers that were published in 2024. Manuscripts were published in Value in Health, BMJ Open, Journal of Comparative Effectiveness Research, Forum for Health Economics and Policy, Annals of the American Thoracic Society and others. Links to all papers are below. Clayton D, Shafrin J, Yen GP, Geevarghese L, Shi…

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“Comparisons Are Toxic.” True or False?

by MIKE MAGEE THCB is back from its end of year break, but we are starting with a little catchup from December from Mike Magee. As my wife often reminds me, “Comparisons are toxic.” And, in general, I agree and try to respect this cardinal rule. But these are extraordinary times. So grant me this…

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China’s transition to DRG-based hospital reimbursement

China has been transitioning from a fee-for-service (FFS) payment system to a Diagnosis-Related Group (DRG) payment system for hospitals in various cities. Under the FFS model, hospitals were reimbursed for each individual healthcare service provided, which created incentives to increase the number of services during a patient’s hospitalization. In June 2019, the National Healthcare Security…

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How will AI change health care in 2025?

To answer this question, I of course asked different AIs what the answer would be. Their responses: ChatGPT. In 2025, AI will significantly enhance healthcare by improving diagnostic accuracy, such as detecting early-stage cancers through tools like AI-enhanced mammograms and identifying retinal diseases via AI-analyzed optical scans. Personalized medicine will advance as AI tools like…

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Top 10 Healthcare Economist posts of 2024

What were the most popular posts on Healthcare Economist this year? Here are the top 10 in descending order: Valuing the Societal Impact of Medicines and Other Health Technologies: A User Guide to Current Best PracticesThe world is relying on the United States to get value-based drug pricing rightWhy is the market design for innovative…

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